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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Bravida Arena

BK Hacken
2 - 1
Real Madrid

Kafaji (59'), Kosola (76')
Anvegard (55'), Bergman-Lundin (84'), Sandberg (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bruun (9')
Robles (56'), Carmona (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between BK Hacken Women and Real Madrid Femenino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

BK Hacken Women

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Last Game: Paris 1-2 BK Hacken
Wednesday, November 15 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Real Madrid Femenino

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Last Game: Real Madrid 2-2 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, November 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: BK Hacken Women 1-2 Real Madrid Femenino

 Although Real Madrid would have been disappointed with Sunday's league defeat to Barcelona, they do boast a decent record in the Champions League, having lost just two of their last 13 matches in the competition (W8, D3). As a result of their fine European form, we think that Real Madrid will have the quality required to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BK Hacken Women win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a BK Hacken Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for BK Hacken Women in this match.

Result
BK Hacken WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
50.9% (-0.104 -0.1) 22.04% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 27.06% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 63.92% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.66% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.28% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)57.73% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
BK Hacken Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)14.32% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.86% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)42.14% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (0.063999999999993 0.06)25.41% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (0.082999999999998 0.08)60.22% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    BK Hacken Women 50.9%
    Real Madrid Femenino 27.06%
    Draw 22.04%
BK Hacken WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 50.9%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 6.64% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.98% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.06%

How you voted: BK Hacken vs Real Madrid

BK Hacken Women
29.4%
Draw
11.8%
Real Madrid Femenino
58.8%
17
rhs 2.0
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