Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 7, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol2 - 1Defensor
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Defensor Sporting.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boston River 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, September 2 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, September 2 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 1-1 Defensor
Sunday, September 3 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, September 3 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
43
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
37.13% ( 0.06) | 29.07% ( 0.02) | 33.81% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.59% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
