MX23RW : Friday, May 17 10:39:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Apr 14, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
Danubio

Sosa (35'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Ramirez (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fracchia (31'), Romero (54'), Ferreira (69'), Goicoechea (90+5'), Goicoechea (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 5-0 Caracas
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Ameliano
Wednesday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawDanubio
53.68% (-0.103 -0.1) 26.64% (0.067 0.07) 19.68% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 41.25% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.63% (-0.17 -0.17)61.37% (0.174 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.73% (-0.127 -0.13)81.27% (0.131 0.13)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (-0.119 -0.12)23.12% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (-0.173 -0.17)56.98% (0.177 0.18)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)46.34% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)81.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 53.68%
    Danubio 19.68%
    Draw 26.62%
PenarolDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 15.69% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.71% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 19.68%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Danubio
2-1
Penarol
Lewis (27'), Romero (45+1')
Neris (53')
Coelho (25'), Garcia (29'), Gonzalez (50')
Jul 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
1-0
Penarol
May (61')
Silva (32'), Arguello (51'), Monzon (79')

Aguirregaray (60'), Garcia (76')
Apr 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Penarol
2-0
Danubio
Hernandez (37', 73')
Aug 28, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 5
Penarol
1-1
Danubio
Lozano (68')
Ramos (27'), Rak (41'), Cristoforo (59'), Menosse (61'), Milesi (85'), Viatri (90+4')
Menosse (90+2')
May (32')
Silva (19'), Rea (28'), Bortagaray (38'), Vicente (67')
Vicente (70')
Mar 5, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
0-1
Penarol

Navarro (45+2'), Fossati (45+3'), Vicente (55'), Hernandez (72'), Sosa (72'), Fernandez (77'), Evans (88')
Bentancourt (90+5' pen.)
Olivera (45+1'), Ramos (53'), Musto (70'), Gargano (85'), Elizalde (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1210202561932
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3ProgresoProgreso127322420424
4Defensor SportingDefensor1264225141122
5Boston RiverBoston River126331613321
6Cerro Largo125341412218
7LiverpoolLiverpool123631918115
8Racing de MontevideoRacing124351717015
9Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
10River PlateRiver Plate123451517-213
11DanubioDanubio123451216-413
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers123361217-512
13CerroCerro122551321-811
14Rampla JuniorsRampla122371024-149
15Miramar Misiones121561523-88
16FenixFenix12147916-77


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