Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Roma |
20.73% ( 0.01) | 22.46% ( -0.02) | 56.82% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.61% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.56% ( 0.08) | 44.44% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.19% ( 0.07) | 66.81% ( -0.07) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.57% ( 0.05) | 35.43% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.81% ( 0.05) | 72.19% ( -0.05) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.57% ( 0.03) | 15.42% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.74% ( 0.06) | 44.25% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 20.73% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.78% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 56.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
15 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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