Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Lazio |
18.14% | 21.47% | 60.39% |
Both teams to score 53.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.14% | 43.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.75% | 66.25% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.16% | 37.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.39% | 74.61% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.91% | 14.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.3% | 41.7% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 5.18% 2-1 @ 4.93% 2-0 @ 2.52% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.14% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 0-0 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.47% | 0-1 @ 10.44% 0-2 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 6.5% 0-4 @ 3.28% 1-4 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 3.16% 2-4 @ 1.55% 0-5 @ 1.29% 1-5 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.86% Total : 60.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |