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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Cremonese

Spezia
2 - 2
Cremonese

N'Zola (19'), Holm (22')
Agudelo (61'), Caldara (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dessers (2'), Pickel (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 2-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 1-4 Napoli
Sunday, October 9 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 2-1 Cremonese

Despite there not being a great deal separating the two sides, Spezia have been impressive at home this season, undefeated at Stadio Alberto Picco so far. As such, we expect them to do just enough to get the three points in this one, particularly given the fact that Cremonese are yet to win a game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawCremonese
40.9% (0.879 0.88) 27.19% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 31.91% (-0.793 -0.79)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.29% (0.148 0.15)55.71% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (0.122 0.12)76.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.553 0.55)26.77% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.722 0.72)62.05% (-0.72300000000001 -0.72)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.47 -0.47)32.29% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.535 -0.54)68.79% (0.53399999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 40.9%
    Cremonese 31.91%
    Draw 27.18%
SpeziaDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.64% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: Spezia vs Cremonese

Spezia
78.3%
Draw
15.2%
Cremonese
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2020 8pm
Cremonese
0-0
Spezia

Terranova (68'), Gaetano (77'), Crescenzi (80')
Feb 11, 2020 8pm
Spezia
3-2
Cremonese
Maggiore (56'), Di Gaudio (72'), N'Zola (84')
Ricci (30'), Capradossi (39')
Claiton (27'), Parigini (87')
Deli (41'), Piccolo (55'), Gustafson (73'), Ravanelli (90')
Feb 2, 2019 5pm
Spezia
2-0
Cremonese
Bartolomei (21', 53')
Vignali (81')

Arini (40'), Strizzolo (66')
Sep 15, 2018 5pm
Cremonese
2-0
Spezia
Terranova (16' pen.), Brighenti (21')

Ricci (28'), Terzi (72')
Apr 28, 2018 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Cremonese
Maggiore (87')
Terzi (31'), Masi (70'), Lopez (90')
Lopez (90')

Cinaglia (26'), Pesce (47'), Canini (67'), Castrovilli (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta382161172423069
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina381791261461560
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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