Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
29.7% | 24.19% | 46.11% |
Both teams to score 58.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56% | 44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.62% | 66.38% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.12% | 27.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.51% | 63.48% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.76% | 19.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.06% | 50.94% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
2-1 @ 7.21% 1-0 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.7% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 9.31% 0-1 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 7.29% 1-3 @ 5.11% 0-3 @ 4% 2-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 2.11% 0-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |