Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Cagliari |
43.36% ( -0.05) | 25.13% ( -0.01) | 31.5% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.98% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.6% ( 0.04) | 47.39% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.39% ( 0.03) | 69.61% ( -0.04) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( -0.01) | 21.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( -0.02) | 55.06% ( 0.01) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% ( 0.05) | 28.37% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% ( 0.07) | 64.11% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.36% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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