Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
70.9% ( 0.21) | 17.11% ( -0.08) | 11.99% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 53.03% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.36% ( 0.02) | 36.64% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.2% ( 0.02) | 58.79% ( -0.02) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.82% ( 0.05) | 9.17% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.91% ( 0.13) | 31.09% ( -0.13) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.38% ( -0.2) | 41.61% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.9% ( -0.17) | 78.1% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.43% Total : 70.9% | 1-1 @ 8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.11% | 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.42% Total : 11.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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