Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 11.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | AC Milan |
11.2% | 17.26% | 71.53% |
Both teams to score 49.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.4% | 39.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.05% | 61.94% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.08% | 44.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.13% | 80.86% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.21% | 9.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.46% | 32.54% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 3.52% 2-1 @ 3.27% 2-0 @ 1.41% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.99% Total : 11.2% | 1-1 @ 8.18% 0-0 @ 4.4% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.88% Total : 17.26% | 0-2 @ 11.87% 0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-3 @ 9.2% 1-3 @ 7.36% 0-4 @ 5.35% 1-4 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 2.95% 0-5 @ 2.48% 1-5 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.71% 0-6 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.66% Total : 71.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |