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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 at 2pm UK
San Siro
Salernitana

AC Milan
2 - 0
Salernitana

Kessie (5'), Saelemaekers (18')
Bakayoko (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Di Tacchio (30'), Djuric (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Salernitana

A rejuvenated Milan were far livelier in midweek, so the opportunity to welcome struggling Salernitana to San Siro presents them with another chance to secure three points to keep their Scudetto challenge ticking over. Goals have been in particularly short supply for the southern side, so the hosts can flood forward without fear of conceding and cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
68.3%18.75%12.94%
Both teams to score 50.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.02%41.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.62%64.38%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74%11.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.16%35.83%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.43%43.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.23%79.76%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 68.29%
    Salernitana 12.94%
    Draw 18.75%
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 11.69%
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 7.08%
4-0 @ 4.65%
4-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.94%
5-0 @ 2.03%
5-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 68.29%
1-1 @ 8.9%
0-0 @ 4.9%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 18.75%
0-1 @ 4.07%
1-2 @ 3.7%
0-2 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.12%
1-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 12.94%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Salernitana

AC Milan
94.8%
Draw
4.3%
Salernitana
0.9%
116
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa341012123840-242
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari34711163659-2332
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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