MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 23:57:17| >> :60:8:8:
Falkirk
Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
Ayr United

Falkirk
2 - 1
Ayr

Morrison (66' pen.), Kennedy (83')
Donaldson (80'), McCann (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Akinyemi (12')
McKenzie (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Cup clash between Falkirk and Ayr United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 2-0 Falkirk
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Morton 1-3 Ayr
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

We said: Falkirk 2-1 Ayr United

 Despite the difference in divisions, this feels like a 50-50 tie when you consider the nerves and tensions which will be on show. Although Ayr arguably have the superior quality, we are backing Falkirk to use home advantage in their favour and secure a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Falkirk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Falkirk.

Result
FalkirkDrawAyr United
62.99% (0.052 0.05) 21.04% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 15.98% (-0.031999999999998 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.34% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31% (0.020000000000003 0.02)45.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99% (0.018999999999998 0.02)68.01% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (0.022000000000006 0.02)13.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.72% (0.043999999999997 0.04)41.28% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)41.55% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)78.04% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 62.98%
    Ayr United 15.98%
    Draw 21.04%
FalkirkDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 11.38%
2-0 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 62.98%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.04%
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 15.98%

How you voted: Falkirk vs Ayr

Falkirk
55.2%
Draw
6.9%
Ayr United
37.9%
87
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Ayr
3-0
Falkirk
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Group G
Ayr
2-1
Falkirk
McCowan (26'), Geggan (75')
Moffat (36'), Doohan (47'), Muirhead (78')
McManus (42')
McShane (22'), Buchanan (78')
Durnan (47')
Mar 8, 2019 7.05pm
Falkirk
2-0
Ayr
McGhee (27', 40')
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Ayr
0-1
Falkirk

McDaid (74')
Rudden (56')
Robson (90')
> Match Report
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Falkirk
0-1
Ayr

Irving (87')
Moore (51')
Murdoch (57'), Shankland (64'), Harvie (67'), Adams (9012')
rhs 2.0
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