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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 13
Jul 4, 2021 at 1am UK
National Sports Center
San Jose Earthquakes

Minnesota Utd
2 - 2
Earthquakes

Kallman (45+4'), Abila (69')
Dibassy (85'), Alonso (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cowell (15'), Kikanovic (82')
Remedi (32'), Espinoza (68'), Marie (90+5')

Preview: Minnesota United vs. San Jose Earthquakes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Minnesota United will look to strengthen their position in the Western Conference on Saturday evening when they play host to out-of-form San Jose Earthquakes.

While the home side have put together a lengthy unbeaten streak in the MLS, the visitors have lost five of their last six fixtures.


Match preview

Minnesota United midfielder Adrien Hunou celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal on June 27, 2021© Reuters

After a slow start to the season, Minnesota already find themselves 11 points adrift of Western Conference leaders Seattle Sounders.

Nevertheless, Adrian Heath's side are now unbeaten in six matches, their latest victory coming at the weekend as they edged out Portland Timbers on away territory.

Scoring goals remains a problem for Minnesota with just seven strikes being recorded during the current period, but four clean sheets have kept the team heading in the right direction.

Adrien Hunou and Franco Fragapane have stepped up in the absence of Robin Lod, scoring two goals apiece while their teammate has been representing Finland at Euro 2020.

Although the playmaker is expected to remain absent for this game, Heath will have complete belief in a group of players who will feel that they should be placed higher than their current fifth position.

In sharp contrast, Earthquakes boss Matias Almeyda has increasing concerns about the development of his own squad after their dismal run of results.

Their only point in seven matches came from the fixture against lowly Austin FC with just two goals coming in the other six contests.

Cade Cowell ended a seven-game drought in the 3-1 defeat against Los Angeles Galaxy, but the 17-year-old only found the back of the net once the match was already over as a contest.

The Earthquakes now face three successive away games against teams in the top five, a sequence of fixtures which could make or break whether Almeyda remains in the dugout.

Minnesota United Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

San Jose Earthquakes head coach Matias Almeyda on May 30, 2021© Reuters

Heath is unlikely to make major alterations to his Minnesota XI after they held on to a 1-0 lead against the Timbers for 88 minutes.

Ethan Finlay is an alternative on the right-hand side of midfield, but Lod, Jan Gregus and Jukka Raitala will only be named on the substitutes' bench at best.

Cowell is in line to return to the Earthquakes starting lineup, potentially taking the place of Chris Wondolowski.

Andres Rios produced a lively cameo during the latter stages against Galaxy, putting him in contention to get the nod over Judson.

Marcos Lopez remains unavailable as he continues to represent Peru at the Copa America.

Minnesota United possible starting lineup:
Miller; Metanire, Boxall, Dibassy, Gasper; Finlay, Trapp, Dotson, Fragapane; Hunou, Reynoso

San Jose Earthquakes possible starting lineup:
Marcinkowski; Marie, Jungwirth, Alanis, Salinas; Lopez, Rios, Remedi, Yueill, Espinoza; Cowell


SM words green background

We say: Minnesota United 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes

With these two sides heading in opposite directions, we can only predict one result. While the Earthquakes will eventually have to improve at both ends of the pitch, they may line up more defensively here, restricting their hosts to a two-goal win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Earthquakes

Minnesota United
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
13
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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