Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
62.81% | 21.47% | 15.71% |
Both teams to score 48.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.99% | 48.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.81% | 70.19% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.32% | 14.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.15% | 42.85% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.7% | 43.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.45% | 79.55% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 12.19% 2-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 6.26% 4-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.62% 5-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.26% 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.37% Total : 62.8% | 1-1 @ 10.2% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.47% | 0-1 @ 5.32% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.23% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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