Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.41%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (12.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
33.53% | 29.63% | 36.84% |
Both teams to score 43.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.02% | 63.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.83% | 83.16% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.5% | 35.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.74% | 72.26% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.74% | 33.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.13% | 69.87% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.08% Total : 33.52% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.8% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.62% | 0-1 @ 12.99% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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