Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
43.72% ( 0) | 26.51% ( -0) | 29.76% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.17% ( 0) | 53.82% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.71% ( 0) | 75.29% ( -0.01) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.55% | 24.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.11% ( 0) | 58.89% ( -0.01) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( -0) | 32.85% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% ( -0) | 69.41% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.72% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |