Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
40.3% ( 0.01) | 25.92% ( 0.01) | 33.78% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.11% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.83% ( -0.04) | 50.17% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.87% ( -0.04) | 72.13% ( 0.04) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.44% ( -0.01) | 24.56% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.95% ( -0.02) | 59.04% ( 0.02) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.73% ( -0.03) | 28.27% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.01% ( -0.04) | 63.99% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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