Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Chaves |
35.56% ( -0.79) | 27.39% ( -0.19) | 37.05% ( 0.98) |
Both teams to score 49.65% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.05% ( 0.73) | 55.95% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.96% ( 0.59) | 77.05% ( -0.59) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.01% ( -0.13) | 30% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.89% ( -0.16) | 66.12% ( 0.16) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.92% ( 0.96) | 29.08% ( -0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.01% ( 1.17) | 64.99% ( -1.16) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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