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Arouca
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Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Braga

Estoril
0 - 1
Braga

FT(HT: 0-0)
Djalo (64')
Carvalho (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Estoril
Monday, April 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Braga

With the season now at its business end, both Estoril Praia and Braga know that they must avoid any further slip-ups in their final six games. Jorge's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and while we expect Estoril to put up a fight, they should have enough firepower to see off the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
18.19% (-0.169 -0.17) 20.7% (-0.052 -0.05) 61.1% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)40.28% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.34% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)62.66% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.35% (-0.211 -0.21)35.65% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.58% (-0.219 -0.22)72.42% (0.22 0.22)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.27% (0.049000000000007 0.05)12.73% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.02% (0.103 0.1)38.97% (-0.103 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 18.19%
    Braga 61.1%
    Draw 20.7%
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 4.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.68% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 18.19%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.64% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.83% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.62% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.52% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.41% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.45% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.41% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 61.1%

How you voted: Estoril vs Braga

Estoril Praia
20.8%
Draw
4.2%
Braga
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
Final
Braga
1-1
Estoril
Braga win 5-4 on penalties
Horta (20')
Fonte (5'), Djalo (22'), Horta (64')
Cassiano (6' pen.)
Araujo (37'), Fernandes (43'), Pina (45+1'), Guitane (62'), Figueira (83'), Marques (90+5')
Dec 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
3-1
Estoril
Horta (31'), Banza (51'), Carne (90' og.)
Fonte (26'), Moutinho (76')
Guitane (24')
Pina (42'), Feltes (67')
Apr 8, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Braga
4-1
Estoril
Ruiz (17'), Pizzi (70'), Medeiros (82' pen.), Mendes (90+4')
Eduardo (48')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Estoril
0-2
Braga
Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
Apr 18, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Estoril
0-0
Braga
Gamboa (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


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