Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Porto | 1 | 4 | 3 |
3 | Benfica | 1 | 4 | 3 |
4 | Estoril Praia | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.46%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
13.1% ( -0.02) | 19.35% ( -0) | 67.55% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.69% ( -0.01) | 44.31% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.31% ( -0.01) | 66.69% ( 0.01) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.2% ( -0.03) | 44.8% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.22% ( -0.02) | 80.77% ( 0.02) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.87% ( -0) | 12.13% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.28% | 37.72% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.36% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.1% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.35% | 0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.83% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 67.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |