Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | West Ham United |
21.16% | 23.22% | 55.61% |
Both teams to score 52.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.8% | 47.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.57% | 69.43% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.43% | 36.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.65% | 73.35% |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.19% | 16.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.21% | 46.78% |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | West Ham United |
1-0 @ 6.18% 2-1 @ 5.55% 2-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.76% Total : 21.16% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 9.77% 1-3 @ 5.84% 0-3 @ 5.81% 2-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 2.61% 0-4 @ 2.59% 2-4 @ 1.31% 1-5 @ 0.93% 0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.1% Total : 55.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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