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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
St James' Park
Wolves logo

Newcastle
2 - 1
Wolves

Isak (26'), Almiron (79')
Isak (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hee-chan (70')
Podence (44'), Semedo (58')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United move into fifth position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 2-1 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Spurs
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
58% (-0.178 -0.18) 23.86% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 18.13% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.1% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (-0.268 -0.27)53.63% (0.266 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.224 -0.22)75.13% (0.224 0.22)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (-0.166 -0.17)18.29% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64% (-0.281 -0.28)49.36% (0.279 0.28)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.41% (-0.064 -0.06)43.58% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)79.78% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 57.99%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 18.13%
    Draw 23.86%
Newcastle UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.54% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 57.99%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Wolves

Newcastle United
66.1%
Draw
21.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
12.8%
180
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Apr 8, 2022 8pm
Newcastle
1-0
Wolves
Wood (72' pen.)
Schar (56')

Moutinho (87')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Wolves
2-1
Newcastle
Hee-chan (20', 58')
Lage (44')
Hendrick (41')
Clark (56'), Manquillo (60')
Feb 27, 2021 8pm
Oct 25, 2020 4.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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