Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Burnley |
51.62% | 25.14% | 23.23% |
Both teams to score 49.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.21% | 52.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.58% | 74.41% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% | 20.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.09% | 52.91% |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.29% | 37.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.51% | 74.48% |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 12.23% 2-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.6% Total : 51.61% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.52% 1-2 @ 5.82% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.63% Total : 23.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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