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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Brighton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Brighton

Tomkins (69')
Hughes (27'), Sambi Lokonga (59'), Doucoure (82'), Mitchell (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
March (63')
Mac Allister (7')

The Match

Match Report

James Tomkins cancels out an opener from Solly March as Crystal Palace hold Brighton & Hove Albion to a 1-1 draw in the M23 derby.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
22.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.08%54.39% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)34.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)70.71% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (0.007000000000005 0.01)16.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 22.53%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 54.38%
    Draw 23.08%
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 6.04%
2-1 @ 5.87%
2-0 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 22.53%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.08%
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-2 @ 9.12%
1-3 @ 5.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.67%
0-4 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 54.38%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Brighton

Crystal Palace
16.3%
Draw
15.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion
68.6%
153
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2022 8pm
Sep 27, 2021 8pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Zaha (45+2' pen.)
Gallagher (84'), McArthur (90+7')
Maupay (90+5')
Lallana (28'), Cucurella (77'), Trossard (81'), Sanchez (90+7')
Feb 22, 2021 8pm
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Zaha (19' pen.)
Mitchell (63'), Guaita (76'), McArthur (86')
Mac Allister (90')
Ryan (18'), Bissouma (43')
Dunk (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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