Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 5, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 1Leicester
We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Leicester City
Both of these sides will believe that they should be higher up the league table at this stage, and it is a very important match in the context of their seasons. A case can be made for a home or an away win, but we just have a feeling that a tight match between two good teams will finish level. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
| 28.31% | 25.53% | 46.16% |
| Both teams to score 52.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
