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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Moldova national football team
Nations League | League D
Jun 14, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Andorra national football team

Moldova
2 - 1
Andorra

Caimacov (26' pen.), Nicolaescu (50' pen.)
Caimacov (33'), Rata (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vieira (45+4')
Rubio (25'), Rubio (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Moldova and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

Last Six:
Last Game: Moldova 2-4 Latvia
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League

Andorra

Last Six:
Last Game: Andorra 2-1 Liechtenstein
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Moldova 2-1 Andorra

 Despite playing an entire half with 10 men, Moldova dominated possession in the reverse fixture between the two sides, enjoying double the amount of shots as well, and we think that if they can keep all 11 players on the pitch then the hosts will utilise home advantage to edge out Andorra. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Moldova in this match.

Result
MoldovaDrawAndorra
46.92% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 22.72% (-0.02 -0.02) 30.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 63.93% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.29% (0.104 0.1)36.71% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.13% (0.113 0.11)58.87% (-0.12 -0.12)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92% (0.027000000000001 0.03)16.08% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.54% (0.055 0.05)45.46% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (0.073000000000008 0.07)23.82% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42% (0.11 0.11)58% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Moldova 46.92%
    Andorra 30.35%
    Draw 22.72%
MoldovaDrawAndorra
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.01% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 46.92%
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 5.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.35%

How you voted: Moldova vs Andorra

Moldova
74.1%
Draw
17.3%
Andorra
8.6%
81
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2022 7.45pm
League D1
Andorra
0-0
Moldova

Alaez (65'), Garcia Renom (72')

Armas (59'), Dros (65'), Cojocaru (79'), Rata (83')
Stina (43')
Mar 26, 2020 5.45pm
Moldova
P-P
Andorra
Oct 11, 2019 7.45pm
Group H
Andorra
1-0
Moldova
Vales (63')
Rubio (32'), Martinez (45'), Cervos (84')

Ginsari (37'), Cebotaru (40'), Suvorov (76')
Ginsari (55')
Jun 8, 2019 5pm
Group H
Moldova
1-0
Andorra
Armas (8')
Ionita (38'), Carp (80')
Ionita (47')

Rebes (34'), Lima (94')
rhs 2.0
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