Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Gateshead |
32.69% ( 0.47) | 23.71% ( 0.58) | 43.6% ( -1.05) |
Both teams to score 61.51% ( -1.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.61% ( -2.62) | 40.39% ( 2.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.24% ( -2.75) | 62.76% ( 2.75) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.78% ( -0.98) | 24.22% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.43% ( -1.42) | 58.57% ( 1.42) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.17% ( -1.48) | 18.83% ( 1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.73% ( -2.52) | 50.27% ( 2.52) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.53) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.44% Total : 43.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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