Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
40.67% ( -0.06) | 23.42% ( -0.07) | 35.91% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 63.5% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.84% ( 0.37) | 38.16% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.57% ( 0.39) | 60.43% ( -0.39) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.82% ( 0.12) | 19.17% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.16% ( 0.21) | 50.84% ( -0.22) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.57% ( 0.23) | 21.43% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.56% ( 0.36) | 54.44% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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