Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Wealdstone |
46.79% ( 1.16) | 23.46% ( -0.2) | 29.74% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 60.82% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.37% ( 0.44) | 40.62% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.99% ( 0.45) | 63% ( -0.45) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.36% ( 0.63) | 17.63% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.76% ( 1.09) | 48.23% ( -1.09) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.84% ( -0.39) | 26.15% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.77% ( -0.52) | 61.23% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.86% Total : 46.79% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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