Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Chesterfield |
15.26% ( -0.34) | 18.31% ( -0.15) | 66.43% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 58.3% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.55% ( 0.01) | 34.45% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.63% ( 0.01) | 56.37% ( -0.01) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.51% ( -0.41) | 35.49% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% ( -0.43) | 72.25% ( 0.43) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.36% ( 0.11) | 9.64% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.81% ( 0.27) | 32.18% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 15.26% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.31% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 7.56% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 7.3% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 4.27% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 2% ( 0.05) 2-5 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 4.47% Total : 66.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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