National League North | Gameweek 37
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Curzon Ashton1 - 0Hereford
Spencer (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-3 Darlington
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
46
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
44
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.
Result | ||
Curzon Ashton | Draw | Hereford United |
42.69% ( 0.05) | 26.19% ( -0.05) | 31.12% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.36% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.97% ( 0.2) | 52.02% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.24% ( 0.17) | 73.76% ( -0.17) |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.83% ( 0.11) | 24.17% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.51% ( 0.16) | 58.49% ( -0.16) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( 0.1) | 30.95% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( 0.11) | 67.25% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Curzon Ashton 42.69%
Hereford United 31.12%
Draw 26.19%
Curzon Ashton | Draw | Hereford United |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.69% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 3% Total : 31.12% |
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-09 11:57:46
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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