National League North | Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton1 - 0South Shields
Thewlis (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and South Shields.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Darlington 0-2 Alfreton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
53
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-5 South Shields
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
54
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest South Shields win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | South Shields |
39.97% ( 0.14) | 24.73% ( -0.01) | 35.3% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.43% ( 0.04) | 44.57% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.07% ( 0.04) | 66.93% ( -0.04) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% ( 0.08) | 22.25% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.31% ( 0.13) | 55.68% ( -0.13) |
South Shields Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% ( -0.05) | 24.7% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.76% ( -0.07) | 59.24% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Alfreton Town 39.97%
South Shields 35.3%
Draw 24.72%
Alfreton Town | Draw | South Shields |
2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.72% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.3% |
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-20 12:59:09
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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