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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Atlanta United

Toronto
2 - 2
Atlanta

Laryea (43'), Servania (90+4')
Bernardeschi (63'), Osorio (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Giakoumakis (4'), Chol (76')
Chol (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 0-1 Atlanta United

Since winning the World Cup with Argentina last December, Almada has been a force to the reckoned with in MLS, and we expect he will give the Toronto backline fits with his ability to find space and pick out their attacking players. As solid as the Reds have been defensively, they do not have a difference-maker like Almada in the middle of the field, and their finished product is still missing.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
44.88% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 24.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 31.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.56% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.62% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01)65.02% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)19.19% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.4% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 44.88%
    Atlanta United 31.08%
    Draw 24.03%
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.08%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
4-2
Toronto
Sanchez (47', 62', 88'), Almada (74')
Hernandez (39')
Akinola (52'), Bernardeschi (67' pen.)
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Atlanta
Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
0-2
Atlanta

Achara (24'), Delgado (90+2')
Auro (83')
Araujo (45+2'), Moreno (90+7')
Rossetto (16'), Walkes (90+8')
Barco (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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