The Caps seem to have found their groove as their top attacking players, namely Gauld, have stepped up in a big way, while KC have not been quite as consistent in recent outings.
Overall, Vancouver have a deeper team than Kansas City, plus they have momentum on their side right now, and when you put those two things together it is usually a solid recipe for success.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.19%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
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