Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
We said: Sporting Kansas City 2-3 Inter Miami
No lead is safe when you play a side with the attacking quality of Inter Miami, even if Messi comes off the bench as we expect he will this weekend.
SKC have looked uncomfortable all season when trying to defend a lead, and one has to wonder how they may react if they lead this weekend against a Miami side likely to have plenty of support in the stands.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.92% . A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.92%) . The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%) . The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Inter Miami in this match.
Result Sporting Kansas City Draw Inter Miami 54.92% ( 0.06) 21.7% ( -0.02) 23.37% ( -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.02% ( 0.03)
62.29% ( 0.06) 37.71% ( -0.06)
40.05% ( 0.06) 59.95% ( -0.06)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
86.26% ( 0.04) 13.74% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 58.98% ( 0.08) 41.01% ( -0.08)
70.74% ( 0) 29.26% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.78% ( 0) 65.22% ( -0)
Sporting Kansas City 54.92%
Inter Miami 23.37%
Draw 21.7%
Sporting Kansas City Draw Inter Miami 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.92% 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.7% 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 23.37%
How you voted: Kansas vs Inter Miami
Sporting Kansas City
Draw
Inter Miami
15
rhs 2.0
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