Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
43.58% ( -0.09) | 25.11% ( -0.03) | 31.31% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.96% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.62% ( 0.16) | 47.38% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.4% ( 0.15) | 69.6% ( -0.15) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.26% ( 0.03) | 21.74% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.09% ( 0.04) | 54.91% ( -0.04) |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.51% ( 0.16) | 28.49% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.73% ( 0.2) | 64.27% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |