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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
San Jose Earthquakes

NY Red Bulls
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Barlow (90+17')
Fernandez (11'), Nealis (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Espinoza (80')
Rodrigues (24'), Judson (56'), Marie (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Houston
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes may have made a decent start to the season, but it is still early days, and their terrible record at the Red Bull Arena cannot be ignored. As such, we expect the hosts to eke out a narrow 1-0 victory, which could act as a catalyst to kick-start their season after a very slow start.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
55.05% (1.148 1.15) 23.99% (-0.335 -0.34) 20.96% (-0.814 -0.81)
Both teams to score 50.1% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (0.422 0.42)50.61% (-0.423 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (0.369 0.37)72.52% (-0.372 -0.37)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (0.59400000000001 0.59)18.26% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68% (1.001 1)49.31% (-1.004 -1)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.3% (-0.582 -0.58)38.7% (0.58 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.56% (-0.557 -0.56)75.44% (0.55500000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 55.03%
    San Jose Earthquakes 20.96%
    Draw 23.99%
New York Red BullsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.21% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.79% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.46% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 55.03%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.42% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 20.96%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 11pm
Earthquakes
1-3
NY Red Bulls
Lopez (69')
Klimala (45+1'), Fernandez (72'), Barlow (90+2')
Casseres Jr (56'), Yearwood (65'), Tolkin (89')
Mar 16, 2019 7.30pm
NY Red Bulls
4-1
Earthquakes
Muyl (51', 71'), Wright-Phillips (85'), Royer (89')
Murillo (81')
Espinoza (5')
Wondolowski (45'), Godoy (47'), Lopez (65')
Oct 7, 2018 3.30am
Jul 20, 2017 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
2-2
Earthquakes
Villa (45'), Moralez (56')
McNamara (23'), Herrera (66'), Allen (91')
Morgan (11'), Vazquez (91' pen.)
Moor (28'), Bono (34'), Morgan (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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