Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
55.05% ( 1.15) | 23.99% ( -0.34) | 20.96% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 50.1% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.39% ( 0.42) | 50.61% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.48% ( 0.37) | 72.52% ( -0.37) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.74% ( 0.59) | 18.26% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.68% ( 1) | 49.31% ( -1) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.3% ( -0.58) | 38.7% ( 0.58) |