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Major League Soccer
May 1, 2022 at 6pm UK
Yankee Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

NY City
3 - 0
Earthquakes

Parks (74'), Pereira (78'), Gloster (88')
Callens (77'), Castellanos (80'), Rodriguez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY City vs. Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes

A week ago, these two teams showed a ton of potency in the attacking third, along with plenty of vulnerabilities at the back. They each have some lethal strikers who rarely miss in front of goal, but we are giving the edge to New York, who have a little more balance and structure to their lineup, whereas the Quakes are still searching for the right formula to keep winning consistently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
65.77%18.05%16.18%
Both teams to score 61.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.84%31.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.42%52.58%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.1%8.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.58%30.42%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73%32.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23%68.77%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 65.77%
    San Jose Earthquakes 16.18%
    Draw 18.05%
New York City FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 7.67%
1-0 @ 6.95%
3-0 @ 6.78%
4-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 4.34%
4-0 @ 4.1%
4-2 @ 2.62%
5-1 @ 2.25%
5-0 @ 1.99%
5-2 @ 1.27%
4-3 @ 0.99%
6-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 65.77%
1-1 @ 7.86%
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 2.87%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.05%
1-2 @ 4.44%
0-1 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-2 @ 1.84%
1-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.18%

How you voted: NY City vs Earthquakes

New York City FC
68.8%
Draw
25.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2019 5.30pm
NY City
2-1
Earthquakes
Parks (40'), Mitrita (43')
Callens (55'), Johnson (94')
Wondolowski (20')
Salinas (47'), Eriksson (76')
Apr 1, 2018 1am
Earthquakes
1-2
NY City
Quintana (3')
Godoy (29')
Tinnerholm (49'), Moralez (60')
Ofori (41'), Callens (67'), Herrera (74'), Tinnerholm (89'), Moralez (93')
Apr 1, 2017 7pm
NY City
2-1
Earthquakes
Harrison (11'), McNamara (67')
Ring (54'), Wallace (59'), Harrison (87')
Urena (7')
Bernardez (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto177372626024
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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