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Major League Soccer
Jul 3, 2022 at 10pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Atlanta United

NY City
2 - 2
Atlanta

Castellanos (37', 58')
Chanot (18'), Rodriguez (24'), Magno (53'), Morales (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (56'), Dwyer (86')
McFadden (16'), Araujo (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 4-4 NY City
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Atlanta United

As hard as Atlanta have fought to stay competitive, it seems as though the amount of injuries have taken a toll on them, and their body language shows a team that look demoralised, which rarely equates to positive results. When the defending champions are given even a slight opening, they will make you pay, and the Pigeons should be able to find a breakthrough eventually this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawAtlanta United
62.62% (0.288 0.29) 20.12% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 17.25% (-0.262 -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.27% (-0.476 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.77% (-0.363 -0.36)39.22% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.44% (-0.38 -0.38)61.55% (0.381 0.38)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)11.98% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.59% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)37.4% (0.067 0.07)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (-0.517 -0.52)36.07% (0.518 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15% (-0.532 -0.53)72.85% (0.53200000000001 0.53)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 62.62%
    Atlanta United 17.25%
    Draw 20.12%
New York City FCDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.73% (0.141 0.14)
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.88% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.65% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 62.62%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.12%
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.41% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 17.25%

How you voted: NY City vs Atlanta

New York City FC
86.1%
Draw
8.3%
Atlanta United
5.6%
36
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 8pm
NY City
2-0
Atlanta
Castellanos (49'), Callens (53')

Franco (43'), Moreno (81')
Franco (90+3')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Atlanta
1-1
NY City
Moreno (17')
Franco (60'), Robinson (85')
Thorarinsson (90')
Moralez (24'), Sands (90+4')
Jun 24, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Atlanta
Tajouri (69')

Sosa (12'), Barco (45'), Lopez (55')
Aug 1, 2020 8pm
Jun 18, 2020 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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