Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
48.21% ( 2.82) | 25.43% ( -0.11) | 26.37% ( -2.72) |
Both teams to score 51.77% ( -1.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.61% ( -1.19) | 51.39% ( 1.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.79% ( -1.05) | 73.2% ( 1.05) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.67% ( 0.77) | 21.33% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.71% ( 1.17) | 54.28% ( -1.17) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.8% ( -2.73) | 34.2% ( 2.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.11% ( -3.04) | 70.89% ( 3.04) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.77) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.78) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.2% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |