Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Orlando City
Just one point separates Inter Miami and Orlando in the MLS table, indicating they are very evenly-matches sides, but we expect the hosts to emerge with a narrow victory.
The Herons have won their last three games at the DRV PNK Stadium, the most recent of which coming against a very strong New England Revolution side, so they should have enough about them to take all three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.24% . A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.65%) . The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%) . The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood .
Result Inter Miami Draw Orlando City 45.24% ( 1.47) 25.13% ( -0.2) 29.63% ( -1.26)
Both teams to score 55.03% ( -0.02)
51.79% ( 0.28) 48.22% ( -0.28)
29.63% ( 0.26) 70.37% ( -0.25)
78.67% ( 0.79) 21.33% ( -0.79)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.71% ( 1.2) 54.29% ( -1.2)
69.95% ( -0.73) 30.06% ( 0.73)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.81% ( -0.89) 66.19% ( 0.89)
Inter Miami 45.24%
Orlando City 29.63%
Draw 25.12%
Inter Miami Draw Orlando City 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.24% 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.12% 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.2% Total : 29.63%
rhs 2.0
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