Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Brest had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Brest |
44.31% | 26.94% | 28.74% |
Both teams to score 48.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.08% | 55.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.97% | 77.02% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.9% | 25.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.21% | 59.78% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.28% | 34.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.55% | 71.44% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 8.33% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.3% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.17% Total : 28.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |