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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 12pm UK
Parc des Princes
AJ Auxerre

PSG
5 - 0
Auxerre

Mbappe (11'), Soler (51'), Hakimi (57'), Sanches (81'), Ekitike (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Auxerre.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Sunday's Ligue 1 clash with Lorient.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Auxerre
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Auxerre

The expected return of Messi should increase PSG's creative output tenfold, and a Galtier squad almost at full-strength should have far too much for Auxerre on Sunday lunchtime. The visitors have made a solid, if yet unspectacular start to life under Pelissier and should not ship goals at will, but the gulf in class between the two squads will show at some point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawAuxerre
77.51% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 13.32% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 9.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.88% (0.185 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.19% (0.23700000000001 0.24)25.81% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.03% (0.307 0.31)45.97% (-0.314 -0.31)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.61% (0.055999999999997 0.06)5.38% (-0.063 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.88% (0.17400000000001 0.17)21.11% (-0.181 -0.18)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.17% (0.155 0.16)38.83% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.44% (0.145 0.15)75.56% (-0.15299999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 77.51%
    Auxerre 9.17%
    Draw 13.32%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawAuxerre
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.69% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 8.22% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
4-1 @ 6.01% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.89% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.71% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.51% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.84% (0.025 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.81% (0.014 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.71% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.66% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 5.65%
Total : 77.51%
1-1 @ 5.78% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 13.32%
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.006 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 9.17%

How you voted: PSG vs Auxerre

Paris Saint-Germain
92.8%
Draw
1.4%
Auxerre
5.8%
69
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Dec 4, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Lorient3478194366-2329
17Metz3485213558-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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