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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Toulouse

Lorient
0 - 1
Toulouse


Abergel (70'), Meite (78'), Kalulu (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aboukhlal (68')
Sierro (51'), Spierings (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 16 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Lyon
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-1 Toulouse

 In a mid-table encounter, there may not be much between the two sides, with the added sub-plot of Toulouse's cup final to come next week possibly on their minds. Only one of the last 16 meetings between these sides have seen more than two goals, and this encounter looks set to follow a similar pattern. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
LorientDrawToulouse
32.07% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72) 25.3% (-0.146 -0.15) 42.63% (0.862 0.86)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.231 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08% (0.415 0.41)47.92% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9% (0.381 0.38)70.09% (-0.384 -0.38)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.256 -0.26)28.26% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.324 -0.32)63.97% (0.322 0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (0.595 0.59)22.41% (-0.598 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07% (0.883 0.88)55.93% (-0.886 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 32.07%
    Toulouse 42.63%
    Draw 25.3%
LorientDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 8% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 9.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.46% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.076 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.069 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 42.63%

How you voted: Lorient vs Toulouse

Lorient
61.9%
Draw
28.6%
Toulouse
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
gameweek 3
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
Ratao (31'), Dallinga (64')
Dallinga (43'), van den Boomen (72')
Lauriente (2'), Kone (80' pen.)
Le Fee (23')
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Third Round
Toulouse
0-1
Lorient

Sylla (28'), Yago (45')
Bila (74')
Kamissoko (32')
Feb 8, 2017 6pm
Lorient
1-1
Toulouse
Marveaux (60')
Le Goff (26'), Majeed Waris (47')
Delort (24')
Toivonen (71'), Diop (75')
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Toulouse
3-2
Lorient
Toivonen (8', 20', 60')
Braithwaite (83'), Durmaz (92')
Moukandjo (27'), Waris (90')
Apr 16, 2016 7pm
Lorient
1-1
Toulouse
Toure (91')
Abdullah (78')
Ben Yedder (49')
Trejo (74'), Moubandje (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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