Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
24.27% ( -0.07) | 24.46% ( 0.04) | 51.26% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.78% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.9% ( -0.24) | 49.1% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.82% ( -0.22) | 71.17% ( 0.21) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.27% ( -0.19) | 34.72% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.54% ( -0.2) | 71.45% ( 0.2) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.85% ( -0.09) | 19.15% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.2% ( -0.14) | 50.79% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.27% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |