Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Brest |
43.27% ( -0.03) | 25.53% ( -0.01) | 31.2% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.79% ( 0.04) | 49.21% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.73% ( 0.03) | 71.27% ( -0.03) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.34% ( -0) | 22.66% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.7% ( 0) | 56.3% ( -0) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.52% ( 0.04) | 29.47% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.52% ( 0.05) | 65.48% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |