Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nice in this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Nice |
27.6% ( -0.01) | 26.18% ( 0.02) | 46.22% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.44% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.42% ( -0.08) | 53.58% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.92% ( -0.06) | 75.08% ( 0.07) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.63% ( -0.04) | 34.37% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.92% ( -0.05) | 71.08% ( 0.05) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.86% ( -0.04) | 23.14% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.99% ( -0.06) | 57.01% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.6% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 46.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |