Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lorient in this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lorient |
44.85% ( 0.52) | 27.56% ( -0.21) | 27.58% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 46.47% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.32% ( 0.58) | 58.68% ( -0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.78% ( 0.45) | 79.22% ( -0.45) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( 0.53) | 26.07% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% ( 0.71) | 61.12% ( -0.71) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.86% ( 0.07) | 37.14% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.07% ( 0.06) | 73.92% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |