Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Hellas Verona |
58.43% ( 0.04) | 25.01% ( -0) | 16.56% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 40.41% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.29% ( -0.03) | 59.71% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.99% ( -0.02) | 80.01% ( 0.02) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% ( 0.01) | 20.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.07% ( 0.01) | 52.93% ( -0.01) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.81% ( -0.06) | 49.19% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.91% ( -0.05) | 84.09% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 15.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 58.41% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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