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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Swindon Town | 8 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Sutton United | 8 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Carlisle United | 7 | 1 | 10 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
22 | Gillingham | 8 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Hartlepool United | 8 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Rochdale | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 16.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
59.55% ( 0.56) | 23.9% ( -0.17) | 16.55% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 43.2% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.05% ( 0.05) | 55.94% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.95% ( 0.05) | 77.04% ( -0.05) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.42% ( 0.23) | 18.58% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.15% ( 0.38) | 49.85% ( -0.38) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.05% ( -0.47) | 46.95% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.55% ( -0.36) | 82.45% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 14.68% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 59.55% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.54% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.2% Total : 16.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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